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Simeon Hein - Dancing Man

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The Road to Resonance

 
  • The Black Swan–Relevance of Fractals to Remote Viewing and Crop Circles

    I’ve been reading Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s monumental work The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007).  It’s basically about how we are mistakenly wed to the idea of the Bell Curve, also known as the Gaussian Distribution, to describe the behavior of many modern social and cultural systems. While the Bell Curve is good at describing the approximate activity of physical systems, it totally fails when it comes to real-world scenarios and situations which are more characterized by fractal, non-linear statistical distributions. Think of the unexpected popularity of a movie or book, for example. Normalized Bell curves can’t account for these events. Their “tails” are not fat enough. In reality, extreme events happen more than our conventional models predict. Here is a passage I particularly liked:

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